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09 March 2022 EEMEA | Politics & Geopolitics

Ep. 103: [Emergency podcast ] Timothy Ash on Why Investors Are Underestimating Fall-Out From Russia/Ukraine Conflict

Bilal Hafeez

Timothy is a Senior EM Sovereign Strategist at the $125bn fund, BlueBay, and is widely considered one of the leading experts on Ukraine and Russia. Prior to joining BlueBay, Tim was Head of CEEMEA Credit Strategy at Nomura International. Before this he was Head of EM Research (ex-Africa) at ICBC-Standard Bank until May 2015; Head of Emerging Markets Research at the Royal Bank of Scotland until June 2012; and Head of EMEA fixed income research at Bear Stearns International (later JPMorgan Chase) until April 2008. In this podcast we discuss:

Why Timothy has been expecting a larger conflict since 2015
Western exposure to Russia and ESG
What is motivating Putin
Why NATO expansion is not the core issue
The scale of the sanctions
Chances of regime change in Russia
Why the conflict won’t end soon
How China fits into the picture
Why this is a globally systemic event

You can follow Tim on Twitter.

Read the full transcript here.

Make sure to subscribe to the show on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you go for your podcasts. You can follow us on Twitter and LinkedIn.

(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)

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